本周精萘重心大漲，截至9月5日，2-萘酚市場(chǎng)均價(jià)為7150元/噸，較上一工作日上調(diào)350元/噸，漲幅5.14%，目前新單參考6750-7500元/噸。近期原料工業(yè)萘市場(chǎng)受利好因素影響，市場(chǎng)整體走勢(shì)上行，精萘成本面利好支撐持續(xù)增加，多數(shù)企業(yè)報(bào)價(jià)大幅上調(diào)，精萘市場(chǎng)成交重心上漲。

This week, the center of gravity of refined naphthalene has surged. As of September 5th, the average market price of 2-naphthol was 7150 yuan/ton, an increase of 350 yuan/ton from the previous working day, an increase of 5.14%. Currently, new orders refer to 6750-7500 yuan/ton. Recently, the raw material industry naphthalene market has been affected by favorable factors, and the overall market trend has been upward. The cost support of refined naphthalene continues to increase, and most companies have significantly raised their quotes, resulting in an increase in the trading center of the refined naphthalene market.

成本方面：9月，部分煤焦油深加工企業(yè)陸續(xù)開(kāi)始檢修，進(jìn)而影響原料工業(yè)萘

市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)量減少，對(duì)工業(yè)萘市場(chǎng)存有一定利好支撐，致使近期工業(yè)萘市場(chǎng)重心整體上行，市場(chǎng)均價(jià)自9月1日6249元/噸上漲33元/噸至6282元/噸。工業(yè)萘價(jià)格長(zhǎng)期處于高位，精萘企業(yè)在長(zhǎng)期成本高壓影響下，廠(chǎng)家報(bào)盤(pán)紛紛上調(diào)。

In terms of cost: In September, some coal tar deep processing enterprises began maintenance one after another, which affected the supply of raw materials in the industrial naphthalene market and provided some positive support for the industrial naphthalene market. As a result, the overall focus of the industrial naphthalene market has been on the rise recently, with the market average price increasing by 33 yuan/ton to 6282 yuan/ton from 6249 yuan/ton on September 1st. The price of industrial naphthalene has been at a high level for a long time, and under the long-term cost pressure, refined naphthalene enterprises have raised their offers one after another.

供應(yīng)方面：近期精萘廠(chǎng)家開(kāi)工偏低，主因：一是原料工業(yè)萘價(jià)格長(zhǎng)期高位運(yùn)行，精萘市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行不理想，廠(chǎng)家大多處于虧損狀態(tài)，導(dǎo)致大多數(shù)精萘廠(chǎng)家開(kāi)工積極性較低，二是下游市場(chǎng)運(yùn)行不理想，場(chǎng)內(nèi)成交氣氛冷清，對(duì)精萘的需求有限。需求方面：下游2-萘酚、H酸市場(chǎng)受終端染料需求疲軟影響，市場(chǎng)出貨欠佳，進(jìn)而影響對(duì)精萘的采購(gòu)量，難以提振精萘市場(chǎng)。

Supply side: Recently, the production of refined naphthalene manufacturers has been relatively low. The main reasons are: firstly, the prices of raw material industrial naphthalene have been running at a high level for a long time, and the refined naphthalene market is not running well. Most manufacturers are in a loss making state, resulting in low enthusiasm for production. Secondly, the downstream market is not running well, and the atmosphere of on-site transactions is cold, resulting in limited demand for refined naphthalene. In terms of demand, the downstream 2-naphthol and H-acid markets are affected by weak demand for terminal dyes, resulting in poor market shipments and affecting the purchase volume of refined naphthalene, making it difficult to boost the refined naphthalene market.

后市預(yù)測(cè)

Future forecast

原料工業(yè)萘下游對(duì)其高價(jià)存有抵觸情緒，但市場(chǎng)受部分煤焦油深加工企業(yè)檢修影響，市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)量偏少，利好工業(yè)萘市場(chǎng)，短期內(nèi)工業(yè)萘市場(chǎng)或存小幅上調(diào)預(yù)期，精萘成本面壓力或?qū)⒀永m(xù)。但下游2-萘酚及H酸市場(chǎng)受需求面長(zhǎng)期弱勢(shì)難改狀態(tài)制約，對(duì)精萘多以少量剛需采購(gòu)為主，難以利好精萘市場(chǎng)。綜合考慮，預(yù)計(jì)短期內(nèi)精萘市場(chǎng)堅(jiān)挺運(yùn)行。

Downstream of the raw material industry has resistance towards the high price of naphthalene, but the market is affected by the maintenance of some coal tar deep processing enterprises, resulting in a shortage of market supply, which is favorable for the industrial naphthalene market. In the short term, there may be a slight increase in expectations for the industrial naphthalene market, and the cost pressure of refined naphthalene may continue. However, the downstream 2-naphthol and H-acid markets are constrained by a long-term weak demand situation, and the purchase of refined naphthalene is mainly based on a small amount of essential needs, which is difficult to benefit the refined naphthalene market. Taking all factors into consideration, it is expected that the refined naphthalene market will remain strong in the short term.

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